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Ethiopia's federal government now accuses its former wartime allies—Eritrea and the Fano militia—of supporting the TPLF, redrawing alliances in the north. The TPLF has moved from enemy to target, Fano from ally to rift, and Eritrea faces open confrontation. Regional dynamics further complicate the shifting landscape.
Fresh clashes in western Tigray near Sheraro threaten the 2022 Pretoria peace deal, with the Tigray regional government and federal-aligned officials trading blame. Analysts warn of a potential return to large-scale conflict without international intervention.
Hardline elements within the TPLF, backed by Eritrea, threaten to push Ethiopia back into a war its people have rejected. The 2022 Pretoria Peace Agreement is being undermined by these forces, who seek a return to conflict. Urgent international pressure is needed to prevent a new cycle of violence.
