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Analysts say the US-Israel war against Iran, launched on February 28, 2026, is facing strategic defeat, forcing Washington to consider withdrawal. The campaign failed to produce a pliable government in Tehran, and Iran's resilience and technological capabilities have frustrated US objectives. The likely outcome is a US withdrawal with Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz and enhanced deterrence.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has sought to calm tensions with the United States, asserting that Washington's troop reduction in Germany is not related to his criticism of Donald Trump's Iran strategy and reaffirming the US remains NATO's key ally. The remarks came after Trump threatened to withdraw troops and imposed new tariffs on EU cars, escalating a transatlantic rift.
The Pentagon is planning to withdraw 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany, blaming European allies' reluctance to take the lead in NATO and criticizing the German chancellor for opposing U.S. military operations in Iran. The reduction aligns with a strategic shift away from Europe toward the Western Hemisphere and Indo-Pacific region.
